california is not in play. but the truth is, it does shift and so the different states rise up in different elections and become the focus of elections. it really does make it an election where the whole country has to be paid attention to. >> only two democrats have reached 50% of the vote in ohio since 1940. ohio xem plies the paradox of how this is unfolding. 32% among noncollege white men and women nationally in our abc tracking poll through the whole run. in ohio he's ten points better among both of those groups. >> the bain story, the bain story has a culture and emotion emotional resonance in the midwest. ohio, the idea of the rich guy coming to town, shutting down a manufacturing, just resonates. it detonates. >> george, that early spending in ohio on bain. >> if it works, mr. obama will have a mandate not to be bain capital. but, there's another side of this, also, mitt romney may have been the guy that shut down some plants. barack obama came to town and tried to shut down the coal industry. ohio, pen